The Shift: November 2020

At last, NationStates’ five-month run of decreases in total World Assembly population has finally ended, with November seeing a 2.6% increase. However, the real growth figure – which adjusts for expected monthly trends – has remained negative for the sixth consecutive month at -0.6%.



This month was characterised by relative stagnation across both User Created Regions (UCRs) and sinkers, which grew by only 1.2% and 0.3% respectively. However, feeder regions performed much more strongly, experiencing a 7.2% increase in population.

The East Pacific charged past The South Pacific this month to reclaim the second-highest population behind The North Pacific. This was the first change in the ordering of the five feeders in precisely one year, when the same switch one month earlier was reversed as forces who successfully stopped Fedele’s coup of The East Pacific began withdrawing from the region.


Note: The region of United Kingdom does not have any data for October 2020 as this is only recorded each month for regions with 90 or more World Assembly nations.


Looking at the overall regional movements, Thaecia and Karma had a particularly good month, growing by 30.6% and 26.2% respectively. This was the second consecutive month that Thaecia topped the rankings – an impressive feat. In a statement to NationStates Today, Thaecian President The Marconian State attributed their region’s strong showing to “continued investment in recruitment on all avenues […] as well as encouraging new players entering the region to join the World Assembly, which I believe is doing wonders for both growth and retention.”

No regions had an especially poor result this month, though the worst performers were The Free Nations Region and The Internationale with -8.9% and -6.7% respectively. Though three of the four sinkers experienced decreases in their total World Assembly population, the overall figure for the sinkers was buoyed into positive territory by a 12.1% population increase in Balder.



The total World Assembly population is 2.5% higher than it was one year ago. However, 2019 saw the lowest November value in five years and, for that reason, the current number remains a staggering 11.9% lower than in 2018. While the short-term figures may look dazzling, they are not quite the rebound to the glittering heights of 2016 – we presently sit 16.0% lower than then.

It is encouraging to see a return to positive growth, but I would hazard against pulling out the party hats just yet. The fact that growth trends have remained stubbornly below decade-long averages for half a year may not be a cause for celebration, but it is entirely possible that December will bring us some Christmas cheer.


Llo

Llo has been on NationStates since May 2016, residing primarily in The Leftist Assembly, where he has previously served as Secretary for four terms. He enjoys working in regional governments, particularly in news, elections, law-making, and polling. He is the Chief Executive Officer of NationStates Today, and is the most published author in the organisation's history with over 50 articles.